We’re Talkin’ At Least 115 Wins Dis Year, Bob

In the total converse of what’s happening in Detroit, you can actually hear Sox fans rejoicing at how the season has opened:

  • Crede’s okay and better than ever!
  • A.J.’s tearing the cover off the ball!
  • The bullpen is better than advertised!

And truth be told, it’s a nice feeling to see the Good Guys sitting atop the division for the first time since those precious few hours last April 24. But with a mere seven games down, does it make any sense whatsoever to put any stock in anything that’s happened? To put it another way, we’ve got essentially one long good streak to go by so let’s repackage some of this newfound team optimism changing “this year” with “the past seven games.”

  • Joe Crede is hitting .393 the past seven games.
  • The bullpen has a 2.80 ERA the past seven games.
  • The Sox are playing .714 ball the past seven games.

Make no mistake about it: winning is awesome. But to think the first week of the season is somehow going to be a representative sample of the remaining 26 is either some impossible kind of wishful thinking or else the worst imaginable brand if naivety. How impossible? Here are some other projections using the same statistical foundations:

  • The Tigers go 0-162.
  • Jason Kendall wins the batting title with a mighty .526.
  • Daisuke Matsuzaka strikes out 352 batters.
  • Kyle Lohse posts a 0.00 ERA.

Yeah, we’ll talk about those when they happen. Until then, here’s hoping the momentum lasts at least long enough to crush those infernal Twins.